Saturday, May 23, 2009

Management -- the incomplete profession

I spent two years of my life and a substantial amount of money earning an MBA, a degree I share with many of the people running the largest companies in the world, and many of the people who ran those companies into the ground. NPR recently considered to what degree business schools are responsible for the financial crisis still running its course. After diligently giving voice to both sides of that debate, the story then explores the idea of turning management into a true profession, with a standard set of values, knowledge and, perhaps, a Hippocratic-esque oath akin to medicine or law.

It's indisputable that changes of this sort would be valuable to society. But not for the reasons one might expect. Arguments for teaching a stricter set of values and forcing people to swear to a code of ethics imply a transformative process at work in the MBA education -- people are changed by their experiences in an MBA program. Of course that's true to an extent; livers damaged, vlookup skills gained, networks widened, people walk away from MBA programs with broader horizons, loftier ambitions, and some skills. What they don't learn, even at the Yale School of Management with its commitment to creating leaders for business and society, is a coherent set of professional ethics. There are no required ethics courses, and the State and Society course taught in the core curriculum is a disorganized agglomeration of political science, law and sociology, not a true exploration of business's role in creating social benefit.

This results in some strained conversations about professional ethics and responsibility. When we discussed a case about pharmaceutical companies, I pointed out that the consistently high returns on equity suggested that they were over-compensated for the risk of drug development and that we could afford to shorten patent terms and gain cheap generics more quickly. Rather than addressing the empirical questions of how consistent the returns on equity really are, or what returns are necessary to encourage entry and drug development, my professor called me a "communist" for using that line of argument. In a subsequent class, we discussed the case of the acquisition of one publicly-held government defense contractor by another. The acquired firm was characterized as being deeply committed to delivering unbeatable value to the government, consistently pricing below competition and delivering higher quality work. The acquirer was more profitable, but charged higher prices and had had complaints about quality. I pointed out that the acquisition was a clear social detriment; we as taxpayers would all be paying more money for the same or slightly lower quality services, while the debt- and equity-holders involved in the acquisition would benefit. A few students argued against me, and the professor shrugged his shoulders. In both these cases, there were obvious trade-offs between social benefit and corporate profits, and in both cases the notion that we had a right as a society to determine how those trade-offs were made was dismissed. Conservative students who ascribe to free market orthodoxy over-apply it to these instances where there is no free market; the government creates monopolies with patent law, and is the monopsony buyer of defense contracting. Meanwhile, students who might be more willing to consider social benefit do not have a vocabulary or framework with which to make their arguments. These incidents occurred in the same year that the school released the first issue of its magazine Qn, asking the question, "Can we make management a profession?" The Yale School of Management was asking the right questions, but has shown little desire to implement any answers.

All that said, the Yale School of Management is a very different place from Harvard Business School or Wharton. The curriculum is structured differently, classes are smaller, electives in not-for-profit management are many and of high quality, and the case method is supplemented with a hefty dose of classic rational-market and behavioral economics. However, it is not these differences in curricula that make the Yale School of Management so different -- it is instead the student body. Many people come from not-for-profit backgrounds, and there are a lot of joint degree students with the Forestry School. Even the bankers and consultants If students at the Yale School of Management become leaders for society and business, it has more to do with their values coming in and their mutual support of those values than it does anything they learn while at the school. More generally, for a Hippocratic oath of business or a beefed up curriculum to be most valuable, it will have to change the pool of applicants to business schools, not necessarily change the students once they arrive.

If you want to change the applicant pool to business school, you're going to have to make it attractive to the right people and painful to the wrong people. Unfortunately, I don't think shoving an ethics class or two into the core curriculum and requiring an oath upon a graduation is going to significantly deter the greedy and conniving. And the marketplace does not care enough about ethical MBAs to give those who demonstrate their values a leg-up in hiring, which could serve to attract the right kinds of people. These steps may turn management into a profession, but they won't consistently turn out managers that act like professionals. The people who come into MBA programs who care about social impact will leave with a better sense of what that means and how to achieve it. But those who come in concerned only with the marginal increase in salary, or access to venture capital networks are likely to leave no different than they do now.

The ugly truth is that professions are not constituted only by values and curricula -- they require regulation and punishment. The bar examination and the medical licensing examinations are necessary to police the profession and ensure sound professional practice. Until every vice president or above in a public corporation is required to pass a management licensing exam -- until there are some serious sticks and carrots at work -- management will not be a true profession. These regulations may go against every fiber of the free-market champions that typically enter business schools, but the market has shown itself to be completely incapable of letting the social-value maximizing cream rise to the top of corporate ladders. Instead, we've had villains, hucksters and incompetents, alongside the occasional paragon. If the management profession is going to spot the bad apples before they drive the economy of another cliff, it's going to have to look for them and kick them out. Business school might not be the place to apply that rigorous filter, but it has to exist.

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Wednesday, May 20, 2009

Dopey NPR story about the CAFE standards

"It's a very tricky situation," says Marc Cannon, a top executive at AutoNation, the country's biggest car retailer.

Cannon says consumers care about the environment, but they care even more about money. Unless the price of gas is consistently high, Cannon says there just isn't enough demand for the fuel-efficient cars Obama wants manufacturers to build.

"This summer gasoline was $4, and every single automaker was trying to put out fuel-efficient vehicles as fast as they could," Cannon says. "All of a sudden, come December, gasoline drops to $2 and nobody wants fuel-efficient vehicles."

Completely missed the point. The market environment in which consumers switch to/from fuel efficient cars was one without strict CAFE standards. With the standards in place, consumers won't be switching to/from fuel efficient cars -- all the cars will be more fuel efficient (at least all the new ones). That's the whole point of the standard. I don't understand what these paragraphs have to do with anything.

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Tuesday, May 19, 2009

For your class

I don't even know where to begin.

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Monday, May 18, 2009

Hurrah!

Radiohead Recording New Album


Radiohead Recording New Album

Red alert, batten down the hatches, let the dogs out, etc. Radiohead are currently recording new music with longtime producer Nigel Godrich, according to a BBC interview with bassist Colin Greenwood.

"It's at the stage where we've got the big Lego box out and we've tipped it out on the floor and we're just looking at all the bits and thinking what's next?...It was very noisy and chaotic and really fun," says Greenwood.

Not that the last five albums have gotten old, but this news is like finding out you're going to meet your new best friend.

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"New Zealand Launches Hookup Airways"

Register on the website and you can look for love in categories that include American boyfriend, Canadian girlfriend, Kiwi friend, and, our favorite, “business contact. The airline says 75 people have signed up. They’re about evenly split between North Americans and Kiwis. Men and women are also equally represented. Air New Zealand hopes passengers will be in a romantic mood just thinking about their destination.

What's worse, sharing a 13 hour flight with an awkward stranger who thinks you two ought to be soul mates, or finding out your soul mate lives in New Zealand? Love conquers all, but I don't know too many successful long-distance relationships that span the Pacific Ocean. Of course, you could just have sex. Who doesn't look/smell better after a 13 hour flight?

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Wednesday, May 13, 2009

Jesse V, large and in charge

Jesse Ventura on Larry King:

Jesse Ventura: I would prosecute every person who was involved in that torture. I would prosecute the people that did it, I would prosecute the people that ordered it, because torture is against the law.”

Larry King: You were a Navy S.E.A.L.

Jesse Ventura: Yes, and I was waterboarded [in training] so I know…It is torture…I’ll put it to you this way: You give me a waterboard, Dick Cheney and one hour, and I’ll have him confess to the Sharon Tate murders.

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Poor ASU

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Tuesday, May 5, 2009

Ha, Pooh. (Or the sound a pig makes when it sneezes.)


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NL efficiency, 5/4/09


Latest effiiciency data and motion chart here. Bad week for the Mets. Oliver Perez was demoted to the bullpen, and the bullpen let a couple of victories slip away, offsetting continued improvement in offensive efficiency. Now estimating that Mets have third most-losses due to inefficiencies, behind Nationals and Rockies.

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Her first album was good, this one's better


Seems rather like what the movie Revolutionary Road would sound like as an album ... yearning, domestic violence, discontent.

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Friday, May 1, 2009

Profoundly idiotic Fox business channel anchor doesn't understand "risk"


Robert Frank takes the uncontroversial position that any personal economic success involves some luck. I don't see how this could possibly be controversial, since making it through any given day takes some luck. But Stuart Varney, anchor, is insulted and outraged at the suggestion that it wasn't his talent and hard-work that got him his high-paying job. Then comes this bit, at the 1:47 mark:

"That's outrageous. That is outrageous. What about the risk I took? .. Do you know what level of risk is required for this level of success?!"

Stuart Varney decides that his strongest argument in contending that luck was not involved in his success is to ... contend that luck was involved in his success. After all, what is risk but luck? Sure, he might have taken good risks, but risk by its nature has a probabilistic element. Even if he took only good risks, say gambles where the chances are 95% of winning and each is needed to "be successful," after 5 of those gambles, he only has a 77% chance of being successful. If, as he says, he was constantly taking risks early in his career, we can reasonably assume that the probability of his having won all those gambles he was taking is pretty small. But he's successful, despite all of his risky behavior. Lucky him.

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